Forget a blue wave. Michigan’s top political pundits predict a blue tsunami this November will sweep away Republican control of the state’s three big statewide offices. According to the results of the latest pundit poll, the state’s leading political thinkers overwhelmingly expect to be working in 2019 with a Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, and, by a much more narrow margin, Attorney General Dana Nessel.
Most Successful Pol. Lawmaker of the Year. Gov. Candidate with Best Year. Biggest Political Story. Here We Go.
Tuesday, July 25, 2017 – Lansing, MI – While the Republican field for the 2018 Governor’s race has not formalized, the issues shaping that race are in full view. Michigan’s top political insiders were asked to weigh in on how the Flint water crisis and the push for a part-time legislature will impact the respective potential candidacy of both Attorney General Bill Schuette and Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley.
Tuesday, June 27, 2017 – Lansing, MI – Michigan’s top political pundits were asked to weigh in on the part time legislature ballot campaign being spearheaded by Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley, and the proposal’s impact on Calley’s position as a Republican leader and presumed candidate for governor.
Monday, May 1, 2017 - Lansing – With the 2018 Governor’s race starting to take shape and the candidates for the Lansing and Detroit 2017 mayoral elections now finalized, Lansing’s leading political pundits were asked to weigh in on the current landscape for these key upcoming elections.
Wednesday, March 1, 2017 – Lansing, MI – With president Trump’s first six weeks and his first address to a Joint Session of Congress now the books, Michigan’s leading political pundits are ready to weigh in on the president’s first major milestone and offer predictions on the success he will have navigating his proposals through Congress.
After a seven-week hiatus of punditry introspection, reflection and self-flagellation following the November 8th presidential elections, the Pundit Poll returned today to name its Michigan Political People of the Year and look ahead to 2017 for who will be Michigan’s Most Influential Republican and Democrat.
Friday, Oct. 7, 2016 – Lansing, MI – One month to go and Michigan’s political insiders have made their predictions on which party will control the Michigan State House and which presidential candidate will win Michigan on the way to the White House. Both major political parties have something to celebrate.
Michigan’s Leading Political Pundits Give Clinton the Nod, 53% to 22%
Tuesday, September 27, 2016 – Lansing, MI – Michigan’s leading political pundits say Hillary Clinton won the first head-to-head general election debate of 2016, and it wasn’t close.
The 100-plus political insiders who make up the Pundit Poll roster were asked:
- Who do you think won the Presidential debate, Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump?, and
- Should the third party candidates, like the Libertarian and Green party, have been invited to participate in the debate?
"By more than two-to-one, the Pundits thought Hillary Clinton won the debate," said Dennis Denno, President of Denno Research. "No Democrats and few Republicans thought yesterday was a victory for the Donald."
- 53 percent of Pundits thought Clinton won, while only 22 percent thought Trump was the winner.
- 88 percent of Democratic pundits thought Clinton won, with 12 percent unsure.
- Few Republicans thought Trump won. Only 33 percent of Republican pundits gave the nod to their Party’s nominee, while 29 percent thought Clinton won. 38 percent were undecided.
- Among pundits who identify themselves as independents, 54 percent thought Clinton won the debate.
Said Matt Resch, President of Resch Strategies, “Last night’s debate was unlike any we’ve seen before. In the end, Michigan’s top political pros thought Hillary Clinton performed better, but this race is far from over. Now it’s up to Trump to learn from the experience. That second debate is less than 2 weeks away.”
It’s anyone’s guess, though, how the debate might have shaken out if the leading 3rd party candidates had been allowed to participate. We’ll never know, and the pundits think that’s the right call.
59 percent do not believe the 3rd party candidates should have been invited, while 41 percent believe they should have been on stage.
The Pundit Poll is a survey on the latest political news and issues in Michigan. The survey uses emails to collect the compiled and confidential responses from political strategists, consultants, and insiders across Michigan, with the goal of offering an insider’s look at the political issues facing the state. A full list of the nearly 100 pundits in the poll can be found at: www.thepunditpoll.com.
This was a Resch Strategies/Denno Research survey of Michigan political experts, pundits, and members of the media. 100 respondents were invited and 51 responded. The survey was emailed immediately after the conclusion of the debate on Monday, September 26 and the survey was closed Tuesday morning, September 27.
Denno Research is a public opinion company with experience in polling for political campaigns, corporations, associations, and nonprofit organizations. Though headquartered in Michigan, Denno Research conducts polls nationwide. For more information, visit http://www.dennoresearch.com.
Resch Strategies is a full-service public relations and public affairs firm. With a wide range of clients, Resch Strategies specializes in crafting public relations messaging, strategies and tactics. For more information, visit http://www.reschstrategies.com.
Friday, August 5, 2016 – Lansing – The 2016 Michigan primary campaign is just a few days in the rearview mirror and there are still roughly 100 days until we elect the nation’s next President, so the Pundit Poll is, of course, looking ahead to the 2018 campaign for Governor. Who’s running? Who’s not? We asked 101 of Michigan’s political experts and insiders.
July 29, 2016 - Immediate reaction from Michigan political insiders to Hillary Clinton's acceptance speech to the Democratic National Convention is in, and most give Mrs. Clinton a very good grade.
For Immediate Release - July 22, 2016 - Immediate reaction from Michigan political insiders to Donald Trump's acceptance speech to the Republican National Convention is in, and it's not good.
Wednesday, June 1, 2016 – Mackinac Island, MI – The ferries are ferrying. The drinks are flowing. The Porch is being walked and talked. People are complaining/raving about the weather. The 2016 Detroit Regional Chamber Mackinac Policy Conference is underway. In honor of this political rite of spring in Michigan, the Pundit Poll looked to identify pundits’ top priorities for Detroit, and gauge the optimism around turning those priorities into realities.
Tuesday, May 3, 2016 - Lansing, MI – Teacher sickouts. New commissions. Local control. Legislative gridlock. Heartbreaking results. Dramatic turnarounds. Looking ahead five years, what will be the condition of the Detroit Public Schools? The Pundit Poll asked.
Thursday, April 28, 2016 - Lansing, MI - As the Flint water crisis carries into May, political insiders across the state increasingly feel that Governor Snyder’s ultimate legacy will be irreparably damaged by the ongoing situation.
LANSING, MI – April 19, 2016 – With the clown car known as the United States presidential campaign still six months from it merciful conclusion, The Pundit Poll thought, “Let’s throw another election cycle into the conversation.”
In an emailed survey from April 14-15, 100 of Michigan’s political insiders and pundits were asked to look ahead to the 2018 race for Governor in Michigan and the results were surprising.
Lansing, MI -- He came to Michigan and won. She came and lost. Still, in the wake of yesterday’s presidential primary elections, Donald Trump and Hillary Clint appear to remain the presumptive nominees for their respective parties. The Pundit Poll is looking ahead to November.
The Pundit Poll asked, “Who will win Michigan? Clinton. Trump. Or other.”
It's the inaugural survey of The Pundit Poll
Lansing, MI -- Monday February 22, 2016 -- The inaugural survey of the recently unveiled Pundit Poll asked key Michigan political insiders to weigh on four of the hottest topics in Michigan today: the upcoming presidential primary, Governor Snyder and the legislature’s handling of the Flint water crisis, and the future of Michigan’s emergency management law.
New Survey Gives an Inside Look at Michigan Politics Directly from the Experts and Observers
Lansing, Mich. – The Pundit Poll, a new survey on the latest political news and issues in Michigan, launched today. The survey reports the compiled and confidential responses from political strategists, consultants, and insiders for across Michigan with the goal of offering an insider’s look at the political issues facing the state.
The Pundit Poll is the joint effort of Resch Strategies, a public relations and public affairs firm, and Denno Research, a public opinion company.